Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000197 0.000218 0.000240 0.000266 0.000295 0.000326 0.000363
2025-10-12 0.000159 0.000190 0.000225 0.000270 0.000325 0.000390 0.000475
2025-10-19 0.000134 0.000168 0.000211 0.000268 0.000342 0.000438 0.000572
2025-10-26 0.000118 0.000155 0.000203 0.000270 0.000363 0.000490 0.000679
2025-11-02 0.000104 0.000142 0.000192 0.000267 0.000375 0.000529 0.000771
2025-11-09 0.000095 0.000132 0.000185 0.000266 0.000389 0.000572 0.000874
2025-11-16 0.000085 0.000123 0.000177 0.000262 0.000396 0.000604 0.000965
2025-11-23 0.000077 0.000113 0.000167 0.000255 0.000397 0.000628 0.001043
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000109 0.000165 0.000259 0.000417 0.000681 0.001179
2025-12-07 0.000069 0.000106 0.000164 0.000264 0.000438 0.000741 0.001334
2025-12-14 0.000063 0.000099 0.000157 0.000258 0.000440 0.000767 0.001430
2025-12-21 0.000058 0.000092 0.000148 0.000249 0.000434 0.000776 0.001495
2025-12-28 0.000055 0.000090 0.000147 0.000254 0.000456 0.000842 0.001688
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000087 0.000146 0.000258 0.000477 0.000912 0.001905
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000083 0.000141 0.000256 0.000486 0.000957 0.002076
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000080 0.000139 0.000258 0.000504 0.001023 0.002307
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000076 0.000135 0.000255 0.000510 0.001064 0.002487
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000073 0.000132 0.000254 0.000521 0.001119 0.002711
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000069 0.000127 0.000250 0.000524 0.001155 0.002894
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000066 0.000122 0.000244 0.000521 0.001175 0.003040
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000064 0.000121 0.000247 0.000542 0.001258 0.003378
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000063 0.000121 0.000252 0.000566 0.001353 0.003772
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000060 0.000117 0.000247 0.000565 0.001382 0.003975